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Forums - Sales Discussion - Poll: How many million selling weeks with Wii get this holidays?

2008 it had 5 weeks in a row over 1 million starting with Black Friday (BF) week.

BF week is looking like a million easily even though Americas will be somewhat down on 2008.

The week Wii came closest to not reaching 1 million was post BF week making a paltry 1.014 million - pathetic

Given Wii is generally tracking behind 2008 sales normally one would say the post BF week dip will see it fall below 1 million. But this year post BF week = NSMB week in Japan and the first full week of NSMB in Others. Could this compensate for the YoY trend and help Wii stay above 1 million?

The realistic choices I think are either 4 or 5 million + weeks. 3 is a possibility if post BF week goes below 1 million and WE 27 Dec is down YoY by about 17%.

My vote is 4.

I don't think NSMB will compensate for the full YoY decrease we've been seeing, and seeing as how 2008 only just sneaked past 1 million post BF week, this year post BF week Wii will be somewhere in the 900Ks. I don't think Wii will be down 17% YoY for WE 27 Dec so I think it will just make the 1 million mark there.

If I manage to keeep track of this thread I'll try to keep a running tally in this post.

Million selling weeks for Wii from BF week through to the end of 2009:

5: Joelcool7, Numonex, Cobretti2

4: binary solo, RCTjunkie, ChrisNotSexy, Dexorosorous

3: Crazymann, cliffhanger, dunno001, postofficebuddy, burgerstein, Kenology, Wonktonodi, ArkZero

2: Acevil, Crystalchild, RicHo

1: Zlejedi, thx1139

0:

folks with commitment issues : Avinash_Tyagi, Gilgamesh, Gurglesletch

 

Early results are indicating 3 is the most popular choice. BF week is looking a tad shaky if Americas comes in at below 600K. But I'm staying with my prediction of 4.



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Hard to say, if this week and next week both hit a million, which is possible, then it could be as much as 5-6, if not, it could be as few as 2-3, so it depends on a few factors, how big Wii sales are in others and Japan this week, How high they are in japan next week and how big the dropoff in NA is next week if there is a dropoff, how well Japanese and NA sales are in December, etc.

I'd say 2-6



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

I agree with OP. 4 seems to make the most sense, considering America & Japan sales are down.



I say 3, but the others will be CLOSE.



I'm going to be optamistic I say it could be about 6. The Wii sold over 500k Black Friday weekend. I think as we get closer to Christmas sales will be boosted here in North America and Europe. As some have pointed out Japan will likely have a profound effect on sales, but I think Nintendo will see a resurgence in Japan as well!



-JC7

"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer

 

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I'm going to go with 3 : BF week and then the 2 weeks leading up to christmas. It might do 4.



2 here.



 

1 maybe 2



Hmm... something in me is saying 2-3, but I can see a wide range happening. I guess if I had to pick 1 number, I'll go with 3 times.



-dunno001

-On a quest for the truly perfect game; I don't think it exists...

I'll go with 3.



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