I'm going to be optamistic I say it could be about 6. The Wii sold over 500k Black Friday weekend. I think as we get closer to Christmas sales will be boosted here in North America and Europe. As some have pointed out Japan will likely have a profound effect on sales, but I think Nintendo will see a resurgence in Japan as well!
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer