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Kimishima hopes to sell over 20M Nintendo Switch units next FY.

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PAOerfulone said:

- Plenty of ‘B’ tier franchises like Kirby, Yoshi, Fire Emblem, Bayonetta 3, Pikmin 4 and Luigi’s Mansion 3. The former 3 have already been confirmed, the latter 3 are hopefuls.

Bayonetta 3 is confirmed



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

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VideoGameAccountant said: 
Fight-the-Streets said: 
Look at the platform totals http://www.vgchartz.com/analysis/platform_totals/ Nintendo never made good numbers for home consoles in Europe compared to the North American market. Even the Nintendo Wii sold significantly less in Europe. Now, compare the NA and Europe numbers of Sony's home consoles. Europe always sold on eye level. The majority even sold actually better (PS2, PS3 and PS4 so far). Pretty interesting, right? 

One reason why the Playstation brand is so successful in Europe is because people over here have not much interest in the Xbox brand (except UK). If you want to buy a cutting-edge console and you basically have only one option, well, guess what, you will opt for that one option. (Xbox is no real option as it has no real acceptance in the mass market in Europe and 9 out of 10 of your friends you play online with will have a Playstation. Back in the days, N64, Saturn, Dreamcast and Gamecube weren't real options as well because they were all flawed in one or more departments - they all were, together with the original Xbox, just niche consoles).

Nintendo really needs to start a huge marketing offensive in Europe to bring that numbers closer to the NA market. Currently, the European market still just consists only of UK, Germany and France really. The rest of Europe have either a too small population (Scandinavia, Benelux, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland) have a weak buying power (Italy, Spain, virtually all EU countries which don't belong to old Europe + Turkey) or are a combination of both (Portugal, Greece). They are just good for some pocket money. Of course, the combined amount of pocket money made from all those countries is still something.

Nintendo was never competitive in Europe all the way back to the third generation. The Sega Master System outsold the NES despite the NES dominating the US and Japan. It's no surprise that Nintendo's systems have done the best there. 

Sony's rise in gaming had more to do with them removing the licensing requirements from and Sony was able to leverage the company's larger asset pool. When Sega was beaten, Sony took the market from them.

Nintendo does well in some European countries (like France) and poorly in others (like the UK). I don't see that changing unless Nintendo can create a new megahit that appeals there or hope the Switch takes off like the DS did. Europe, in general, doesn't have the same iconography with Nintendo as other regions do, and Nintendo relies heavily on that. Not to say this will hurt Nintendo's ability to sell 20 million. It's more why they struggle compared to Sony systems. 

Huh? Nintendo has most certainly been competitive in Europe. Nintendo Wii was sold out across the continent for 2-3 years. Nintendo handhelds have always been huge in Europe as well. I remember people standing out in the snow for hours waiting to get a Wii. The reason the NES and SNES aren’t more highly represented are mostly because of bad distribution. NES didn’t really have proper availability until after the Mega Drive had already launched, until around the time of the SNES release. Many people were forced into importing software as well, most of my SNES library is imported. N64 didn’t do well because of pricing, games were usually 2-3 times more expensive than PSX games; also, no RPGs hurt N64, because that was the hot genre through Europe back then, and they have remained somewhat big. GameCube didn’t have anything wrong with it except for its weird controller and toxic “kiddie console” reputation.

I think Switch has a good shot at being bigger than the Wii overall. Particularly because of mass transit. Especially if more traditional style RPG battle games come out (like Pokemon), and more non-action simulation type games; it’s why Nintendo handhelds have been big. Stardew Valley is a good start. But the Wii has that party demographic, and I don’t mean “party” as in 3-5 nerds in a basement, but party with drinking/dancing and attractive/fun people. Switch is probably the first console that has a shot at that demographic, we’ll see.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

megaman79 said:
PAOerfulone said:

- Plenty of ‘B’ tier franchises like Kirby, Yoshi, Fire Emblem, Bayonetta 3, Pikmin 4 and Luigi’s Mansion 3. The former 3 have already been confirmed, the latter 3 are hopefuls.

Bayonetta 3 is confirmed

Not for 2018



Click HERE and be happy 

Pillertriller said:
20 millions? Then the PS4 will probably sell 30 millions

Thats good logic. Hopefully switch can do 25mil so ps4 can automatically do 37.5mil!



tbone51 said:
Pillertriller said:
20 millions? Then the PS4 will probably sell 30 millions

Thats good logic. Hopefully switch can do 25mil so ps4 can automatically do 37.5mil!

both will do 20 mio and this is fine



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cosmic_drift said:
I honestly think this would be a better prospect for the Switch's third year. Historically Nintendo consoles have done their best during their latter years rather than their early ones.

It's not only Nintendo it's every consoles. If you look at Vgchartz numbers, Switch is destroying the first Christmas season of the PS4 and beating it's 2nd one. Switch is new and the casual market barely know it exist still. It's also expensive when you see there is no real bundle and it's almost 400$ for console + game while PS4/One have bundles at 250$ with a game.

 

Consoles don't peak in their first year and PS4/One are in it right now. Switch will be bigger next year imo.



cosmic_drift said:
zorg1000 said:

You sure about that?

Nintendo console sales usually hit their peak during second or third year, and then begin to taper off around the fifth year.

Here is a chart for the 3DS:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/262074/worldwide-sales-of-the-nintendo-3ds-since-2004/

And one for Nintendo home consoles:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/227012/lifetime-unit-sales-of-nintendos-home-consoles/

But your last post said they usually do better in their latter years rather than early years.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Roterfan said:
tbone51 said:

Thats good logic. Hopefully switch can do 25mil so ps4 can automatically do 37.5mil!

both will do 20 mio and this is fine

Not disagreeing with that. I think ps4 can continue to sell well. 20mil+ for both would be great. I dont see the ps4 selling under 17mil next year so 20mil is most likely going to happen. Switch is any1 guess (but itll be up obv YoY)



I was referring to releasing in 2018.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

zorg1000 said:
cosmic_drift said:

Nintendo console sales usually hit their peak during second or third year, and then begin to taper off around the fifth year.

Here is a chart for the 3DS:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/262074/worldwide-sales-of-the-nintendo-3ds-since-2004/

And one for Nintendo home consoles:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/227012/lifetime-unit-sales-of-nintendos-home-consoles/

But your last post said they usually do better in their latter years rather than early years.

Well I guess mid-year would make more sense then, not latter.