Here is the reasoning:
PS3 is only at 30.4 Million, since 8% of PS3's fail (so 33 million * .92 = 30.36) and they only have a 1 year warranty, most of them died out of warranty and have thus been replaced by the owner.
360 is actually at around 38.5 million, because they instituted the 3 year warrany in 2006 (less than the original one year warranty, so all of them would be coevered until 2009) and only a small amount could have died outside of the warranty that just started expiring. So we can assume that MS replaced the vast majority of them under the warranty, and DID NOT count those as sales.
So the difference in installed base is actually 8.2 million in favor of the 360, give or take, could be as low as 7.5 or as high as 9 million. Reason? Do I need to give one, can't I just assume it's correct?
I hope I get 17 pages of responses about this, since it seems that posting flawed logic and rampant assumptions will lead to vehement defense of your nonsense by otherwise sensible people.
Or converesely, this thread could be largely ignored because it's "going the wrong way".













