The hardcore Nintendo fan (the ones who use online boards and follow gaming news) is a Mario, Zelda and Smash fan. While they are the most likely to buy anything by Nintendo, the lack of games for those IPs will be met with the impression they are being left behind. Mario Kart theoretically is there to fill the Mario's void, but the way I see it Mario Kart is more a mass-market game than a game sold to Nintendo hardcore fandom
Splatoon, Pokemon and Animal Crossing fandoms are HUGE, and yet they are seemingly distinct fandoms altogether, with their own niche and much less intersecction with the bigger Nintendo core fandom. I think all those are much more likely to describe themselves as "I'm a XXX game fan", than "I'm a Nintendo fan" hence the presence of spin offs of those IPs (Pokopia, Splatoon Raiders) in the upcoming line up matters as much as the next Star Fox or Fire Emblem
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