3D Mario is Coming Holiday 2026! — Rumors, Leaks, Etc.

[BraLoD]

Wyrdness said:

BraLoD said:

As far as you are right, both games don't even share the same systems, there is one big point: marketing.

It doesn't matter that both games won't have any kind of direct competition between them, GTA VI will be having a marketing monopoly, every single big media vehicle will be talking about it and that's it, that's the biggest reason pretty much every other game will try to avoid it, even if they are from different genres entirely, products need marketing, and even as Mario would be 100% fine in the long run, Nintendo games have exceptional sellig lasting power, it will be completely ignored when it releases, and there is no reason anyone would want that, marketing has a lot of power.

GTA has had no impact on Nintendo titles since it's ascension all the way back with III and VI isn't changing that First party titles move in accordance to their own rules, it wouldn't be ignored on release as Nintendo's first party titles are probably the only games with equivalent selling and marketing power we only need to look at how the whole of gaming reacts when a direct is coming to see that. It would still break 10m within the week.

The only game with equivalent selling power to GTA V, and than you can assume about VI, is Minecraft.

I don't think it'll have any meaningful impact on sales of a big Nintendo game like Mario, but it'll definitely delay them at least.

People expecting a new Mario, watching Nintendo directs and already invested in them for years will be there to mass buy it at launch, but every time you open Youtube, Twitch, Tiktok, Reddit, Discord, or any kind of general site about gaming news and even overall common news, GTA VI will be basically everything you see thrown at up, until you specifically search for something else.

The holidays in special is a period of compusive buying up things, everything in the news is directed to deals and overall marketing about buying things, and its no different with games, 50% of the consoles sales from the whole year usually happen in the last quarter of the year. That's why its so disputed to release games during that period, people are more conditioned to buy things and they do, a lot.

I once told someone here that I think GTA VI should not be releasing during holidays, even less so close to Black Friday, because not only it'll have marketing monopoly regardless from when it releases, so it could have an extended period of intense compulsive sales on release and a second wind boost during the holidays, but it'll affect a lot more other games in the the best period they have to sell.

I think it's quite bad for the industry GTA VI releases in November and its part of the reason I've always been predicting it to be delayed again, so being a 2027 game.