How many units GTA 6 will sell by the end of 2027?

[BraLoD]

Kyuu said:

BraLoD said:

GTA 6 is not confirmed to be on PC by 2027 end as of now.

There are not even close to 200M players between PS5 and XBS, even if we consider the platform totals as every single one of those sales still being an active player, we would have around 135M between PS5 and XBS by the time GTA 6 comes around. GTA 5 had around 160M between PS3 and 360 when it came out.

Also, both the PS3 and 360 were succesful consoles, meanwhile the XBS is basically a Gamepass machine nowdays, so like 70% of it depends on the PS5 userbase. PS5 will be a hard carry for it now, not an even split.

There is no single way it sells 70M without a day one PC release later this year.

The thing is not understimating GTA 6, is reaching actual limits based on population available on that enryronment.

Animal Crossing was a pandemic release on everyone was locked inside their homes and it drove games sales insanely high, to the point massive layoffs came after because the demand would take years to get on that level again. Also, Nintendo games can have insane attach rates real quick, look at Mario Kart World, it's like 80% attach rate.

GTA 6 launch will be insane, and its legs are probably going to be the most impressive thing, just like GTA 5, but where are those double people buying it on year 1 coming from, as it doesn't even have a PC release confirmed until now?

The PC version is releasing sooner or later. Whether it comes out within a year or more is anyone's guess. I think it's coming within a year from the console release, and I don't even rule out a day 1 release. Anything is possible.

Selling only 40 million would require it to at most sell 20 million this November + December, and 5 million a quarter next year including the holiday season. To put things into perspective, 5 million copies per quarter is GTA5's current rate. Do you expect GTA6 to dip below GTA5's post 200 million sales curve?

I'd love to know your quarterly sales expectations from November 2026 til the end of 2027, with and without the assumption of a PC version releasing in November 2027.

I don't think GTA VI will release in 2026.