How many units GTA 6 will sell by the end of 2027?

[BraLoD]

CosmicSex said:

BraLoD said:

GTA V had 2 very active consoles to sell into, GTA VI will only have 1.

GTA VI is also going to cost way more than V, which was a $60 game, GTA VI will be $80 at the very least, $90 IMO.

It's going to be huge, but it does have a worse market condition than V had.

It's going to be a decade plus of strong lasting sales, like V, but I don't expect the first year to be vastly different, much less double its sales.

Do you really expect 55M PS5 and 15M XBS users to buy it on its first year at full price?

Once it hits PC, it gets discounts and eventually has a 10th gen version, it'll reach 100M sales and beyond, but anything over 40M for a full year should not be expected, IMO.

Yes, I totally expect GTA 6 to destroy expectations and records.  Thats kinda the arena I am operating in. 

You are setting yourself for a big dissapointment then.

GTA V managed around a 20% lifetime attach ratio for the PS3 and 360 within one year, now you expect it to be around 50% attach ratio for the PS5 and XBS in one year, with things being as expensive as they are, and with XBS users basically only investing in Gamepass and not new game purchases.

That just won't happen, there is no way half of the people that have ever owned those systems are getting it with 1 year from release.

For example, I'm very likely not to get it so soon myself. And I'm huge spender compared to most people out there.

And I was there day one for GTA V. It was vastly more affordable during that time.

It's going to be huge, but if it doesn't release on PC day one 70M is completely impossible, much less a safe bet.