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Anything below 15 million seems low even with the global economic and supply situation. PS5 is getting to a mild saturation point but not a typical one. It still has 25-35 million units left in the tank.
I'll say 16 million units to make an even million increment. That's a small drop from 2025. Lack of competition from Xbox hardware, some GTA hype, and more and more PS4 owners switching over helps.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima