The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

[angrypoolman]

XtremeBG said:

Soundwave said:

If Nintendo sells the Switch 1 through 2030, it will break 159 million, that's not just me saying that most people on this board would probably agree with that. 

That's not even factoring in Sony needed not only the extra 4 years+ but the system was massively discounted by that point to get to 160. Put the Switch 1 in similar situation and it would cross 160 with ease. I don't even know what the argument would be against that, it wouldn't be rooted in any kind of reality. Even give the Switch one measly price cut, just one single price drop and the same amount of time as the PS2 got and it would easily beat 160 million. 

I will again put my previous post on that matter here: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9630332

Selling for X amount of years, doesn't guarantee you that you will reach a certain milestone. It depends on the amount you sell.

Why no one is saying that if it sells until 2030 it will get to 200M but it will get to 160M ? because most don't think actually how much the sales can drop. Well if you sell very low, even a few millions more can be a stretch. It all depends on how much units will Switch sell in those years till 2030. If it sells more than yes, but if it sell less than needed per month, it won't get there. Just because it sell for X amount of years doesn't guarantee anything. PS2 sold for 13 years. Why it doesn't reached 200M ? Same. Because it didn't sold the required amount per month for that period to get there. Stop act like it's 100% sure. It's not. 

And whether or not is possible or not for you, just answer the damn question. Imagine it's selling till 2030 and it's selling so low that it reached 159M. What will your stance be then ? Answer on that example scenario ? When they are both equal and Switch does 1M less for the same amount of time.

I think most people saying this assume there will be a price drop in there. I have a hard time seeing under 160 in another 4 years. A price drop at some point would be logical.