The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Norion]

XtremeBG said:

Norion said:

I don't know much about how that sort of thing works but shipping just an extra couple million units of something that's sold over 150m seems to me like something that could be done if the company really wanted it to happen. It'd be a dumb business decision but it doesn't feel like it'd be outright impossible since from a global perspective a couple million is a small amount.

I just added some more text to my previous post in edit.

If you speak for a period of few years when it's getting replaced for example I agree. But when the system is selling like 500k a year or less (Switch may be at that level in 2027) it seems a little too much, to produce and ship 3M more, when you know that a 500k year almost surely means the next year will be at least 50% drop if not more (usually the last 2-3 years of a consoles have such a trend). So if they sell 2M in 2026 and 500k in 2027, and it's normal following the trend to sell like 100-200k in 2028, shipping and producing like 3 or 2.5M more doesn't seem very logical (Even excluding the fact the stores will simply not take that much inventory when the demand will be many times less).

Yeah it's for sure not logical so I don't view it as a serious possibility. I was basically making a point to show that at this point Nintendo would suddenly have to act very uncharacteristic for it to still make it to 160m.