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Norion 1 day ago
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XtremeBG said:
Norion said:

Right that's why I said it's extremely unlikely cause overshipping the Switch 1 like that to break a record that would have no real impact on their business so would be incredibly strange since Furukawa has shown good business sense thus far. The only way it could feasibly happen really is if it would get very close under normal circumstances so they decide to give it an extra push to make it but it's not looking like it's gonna get that close.

Correct me if I am wrong, but aren't shipments decided by the sales ? Therefore it's impossible to over ship by much, since the stores simply won't take much more inventory then what they are selling right ? Therefore it's impossible. That is what I am saying. It's not Nintendo's decision if they want to overship or not, it's market's decision. If there isn't enough demand for the Switch, stores won't accept more shipments than what they sell (at that point it would be almost the same between sold and shipped). You wrote it in a way like it's Nintendo's decision, like if they wanted they could just overship by too much for a few years. And my point is they can't, because the stores would not want more units if the demand is low, therefore Nintendo can't just decide to ship 160M or 161M if the market doesn't want to buy so many, even if the stores are selling them until 2030. That was my original point and answer. It all depends on the market itself, and the demand. Of course if there is enough demand they can get there eventually. But it's not set in stone, that selling until 2030 will guarantee 160M.

I don't know much about how that sort of thing works but shipping just an extra couple million units of something that's sold over 150m seems to me like something that could be done if the company really wanted it to happen. It'd be a dumb business decision but it doesn't feel like it'd be outright impossible since from a global perspective a couple million is a small amount.

Last edited by Norion - 1 day ago