US Politics |OT|

[sundin13]

SanAndreasX said:

sundin13 said:

Seems like you're just moving the goal posts now. Now it isn't about electoral college change because of ICE arrests but it's actually because of people moving within the US.

That's honestly a much more valid argument though. You should've started there.

People do move from high cost areas to lower cost areas, which does have an effect on Electoral College votes per state. That said, those people moving from blue States tend to move into blue cities in red states. I think if this trend continues, the rural portion of votes from states like Texas and Florida will decrease while the urban portion will increase, which also brings its own set of concerns for Republicans. There have been questions for years about whether Texas would become a swing state. Add a few million people from California and that starts to look a lot more likely, and once Texas becomes purple (or even blue), Republicans are going to have a lot to be concerned about nationally. 

As for Cost of Living, we are already seeing a lot of red states making many of the same mistakes that led the big blue states to where they are today. The rate of housing growth in a lot of these booming areas like Atlanta, Dallas, Miami etc has rapidly declined and housing costs are spiking. It may not be long until the housing affordability crisis becomes the number one issue across the country (if it isn't already). 

Both of those scenarios have happened in Arizona, which has long been a destination for Californian migrations. Nashville is getting expensive, and thanks to the issues in Florida, a new migration pattern called the “half-back” has emerged and is now driving up prices in East Tennessee and WNC. Even West Virginia is feeling it. 

Yeah, it really seems like cities like NYC and LA saw their housing price spikes over the last couple decades more because their success caused them to expand faster and hit their expansion limit, rather than any unique policy decisions. Other cities are finding that they are now running up against those same expansion limits and would do well to learn from the mistakes made in the past which could have taken some pressure off of the markets. 

AKA please allow your suburbs to densify instead of locking the door behind them and screwing everyone else over in the process. Unless we start building a ton of new cities, the ones we have need to get a lot denser or things are going to get real bad real quick for just about everyone.