US Politics |OT|

[sundin13]

Wman1996 said:

A US War with Iran will make Iraq look like a tea party. And that was a war based on lies, and where over a million Iraqis may have died in additions to thousands of US service members.
Iran has a much bigger population with more powerful weapons and organization. The Bush administration was also more cunning in building up propaganda to Iraq. If the Trump regime strikes soon, they will have not spent the time or cunning to match the insidious propaganda effort from Bush and co.
In the likely event the US enters a hot war with Iran, I see Trump's approval rating hitting 35% and as low as about the 25% or so who will never abandon him no matter what. I do not see a rally around the flag effect occurring where war helps his poll numbers.

I'll preface this again with the fact that I am against War with Iran, but as far as consequences for the US go, what consequences could we actually expect if our offensive involvement doesn't go past firing missiles from hundreds of miles away? I don't think there is any scenario where US death toll is higher than the Iraq War, unless we put troops in Iran (which does not seem to be likely at this time). 

My expectations as someone who is not an expert in military engagements would be missiles directed at US bases and assets in the Middle East with a minor death toll (single digits to low double digits), an increased terror threat on American soil and an increased risk of the conflict escalating by the involvement of additional countries (which would certainly change the calculus). 

Does anyone have any information that would challenge these assumptions?