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Norion on 24 April 2025
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javi741 said:

So guys, after the report that the Switch 2 got 2.2 Million applications to get on day 1 in Japan (for comparison, Switch 1 sold 330k it's first weekend IN Japan and 2.9M WORLDWIDE overall it's first MONTH), while also having reports from other retailers in Europe saying pre orders are at historic levels, does this change your predictions for overall Switch sales?

To be honest, I feel like a good portion of this thread is heavily underestimating the Switch 2's sales potential, it doesn't have much of any reason to do noticeably worse than Switch 1. A common reason I've been seeing is that "Switch 2's concept won't be as impressive as it was when it first came out in 2017 and people will just stick to the Switch 1", but that logic didn't stop MORE consumers into upgraded from a PS1 to PS2 even tho both consoles had no significant differences outside of performance.

The only times we really see direct sequels of consoles drop off in sales is when there's increased competition or the console screws up badly when it comes to price. The SNES sales dropped primarily due to the emergence of the Sega Genesis, 3DS sales dropped due to smartphone competition, PS3 sales dropped largely due to price and more competition from Xbox. The Switch 2 won't be in any of those situations, there's no competition for it right now.

I actually think Switch 2 will exceed 150 Million just like Switch 1.

The biggest reason is the Switch 2 shouldn't get a big boost in the middle of its life due to the world getting shut down for a while. Another reason is while I do think most people are overestimating the impact the pricing will still hurt some cause it's safe to say that there's not gonna be quite as many parents buying multiple for each kid in a given household this time. There's also the current major uncertainty with the US market cause if the huge tariffs on Vietnam get resumed in July then the Switch 2 is gonna be become a lot more expensive there.

It'll still sell very well though of course with it most likely becoming the 4th best selling console of all time even if the PS5 gets there first. The launch seemingly being huge is a good sign though even flop consoles can have a fine launch so how it's selling by September will be more telling. Also to correct something the 3DS was less due to smartphones and more due to the hardware not being appealing especially for its launch price and it having a poor lineup for like half a year. An awful start like that is hard to recover from.

JRPGfan said:

Some people just want to watch the world burn.... energy with this post.
(we don't have downvotes here on vgchartz, so I had to quote you instead :P , I think this is a horrible idea, and wont happen)

No idea what you're babbling about. It is GBA/DS situation - having one established platform, while trying something new.

MK VR exists, it's in arcades for years now, and if you can't imagine Zelda in VR, well...I guess you either never tried VR or you lack imagination.

Nintendo is probably only one who can bring VR to mainstream - as much as Quest managed to do that somewhat, META doesn't have 1st party must have games (although there's plenty of great games on Quest) that will make people go out and buy VR console - and Mario and Zelda are just that.

I've been thinking for a while that VR would be perfect for a new WarioWare game to feel truly fresh. They will be able to do something with the mouse functionality for one game but after that I dunno what they could do that wouldn't just be a repeat like Move It.