Predict the lifetime sales of Mario Kart World

[curl-6]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

curl-6 said:

Mario Kart was nowhere near as big as it is now when any of those entries released including MKWii, so its still not the same as the current situation. The data point most relevant to its current brand strength is the current entry, 8 Deluxe.

The drop from Wii to 8 was because the install base collapsed from 100 million to 13 million, there chances of that happening with Switch 2 are near zero.

At the end of the day, there's simply no need for lower options, "under 30" covers them.

The chances of the install base dropping significantly from Switch to Switch 2 are near 100%.  That console reveal presentation was not received well by a whole lot of people.  The real question is "how many"?  We'll have a better idea of that in a year or so.  However, it is extremely presumptuous to assume Mario Kart and Switch 2 will do as well as MK8 and Switch 1.

Show me where I ever presumed that they will "do just as well"?

It is not at all guaranteed that Switch 2/MKWorld will see a big drop however. The complaints online seem like the same forum bubble outrage we saw before Switch 1's release. ($300 is too expensive, it can't be the same price as PS4, portable games shouldn't be $60, etc)

Heck, if you use online sentiments to predict sales, then the Wii should have been a complete disaster. It was criticised and hated relentlessly, yet in reality it was a huge success.

So far, less than 4% of votes are for below 30m, lower options are simply unnecessary.