Predict the lifetime sales of Mario Kart World

[The_Liquid_Laser]

curl-6 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

False.  Mario Kart Wii sold 37M and then the Wii U SKU sold 8M.  It's popularity on the Wii didn't stop it from selling poorly on the Wii U.  Mario Kart 7 on the 3DS also sold less than Mario Kart DS.

Mario Kart sales very a lot.  Your presumption that it will sell over 30 million seems to be based on the last data point.  It might sell like that again or it might not.  It's not trolling to give options based on other past data points.

Mario Kart was nowhere near as big as it is now when any of those entries released including MKWii, so its still not the same as the current situation. The data point most relevant to its current brand strength is the current entry, 8 Deluxe.

The drop from Wii to 8 was because the install base collapsed from 100 million to 13 million, there chances of that happening with Switch 2 are near zero.

At the end of the day, there's simply no need for lower options, "under 30" covers them.

The chances of the install base dropping significantly from Switch to Switch 2 are near 100%.  That console reveal presentation was not received well by a whole lot of people.  The real question is "how many"?  We'll have a better idea of that in a year or so.  However, it is extremely presumptuous to assume Mario Kart and Switch 2 will do as well as MK8 and Switch 1.