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We're not in PS3 territory here, we'd be in Xbox One right after they 180'd and launched in the worst case scenario for Switch 2.
PS3 was a home console with then up-to date specs for a generational leap, but the price was outrageous.
Xbox 360 delivered in the specs department and had more games people wanted. Wii was an engineering potato, but had Nintendo games people wanted to play.
Knowing what we know right now, 20 million units from June 5 2025 to June 4 2026 could be a tough ask. But 10 million a tough ask? Highly unlikely.
Switch 2 might be more expensive than we hoped, especially for games and the Pro Controller, but there's still a lot to get people excited.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima