Toyo Securities estimates Final Fantasy 16 has sold 3.5 million

[Otter]

DekutheEvilClown said:

I feel like this number is some kind of misunderstanding or miscommunication. As far as I’m aware there is exactly one source for it, a Japanese video games analyst who said it was stated during an investor call.

The Steam sales are estimated by all sources to be in the region of 500k, with ranges from 430k - 645.5k. So for this number to be correct then the Steam numbers need to be on the low end of the estimate, Square would have shipped zero more physical copies since day one and it sold an almost negligible number of digital copies on PS5 in almost 2 years. This all seems a little much.

The alternative being the original 3m number was wrong, which seems unlikely.

I agree that we really need a proper source and verification for this, however I suspect its true. Essentially it has probably sold <4m but more than 3.5m

As someone who follows the charts, you simply did not see FFXVI re-enter the top 20 beyond its launch month. There is no indication that the game went on to have any form of legs which is shocking considering its opening but is probably similar to other JRPGS. 

Its Launch week probably involved 300-500k shipped but unsold physical copies within SE's "3m" figure. Sold those over the following 6 months. Then you have a PC release doing 500-600k... By this time FFVII Rebirth was a few months from launching and I think it had very little legs left. Its probably doing like 10k a month.