I voted by the end of Q3, but maybe after Black Friday (so late November/early December) in a pinch.
It is possible that it takes until around Christmas, but that would require a steeper drop than what's likely.
Switch should hit 160 million in 2026 or before Q2 2027. If Switch doesn't get price cuts, it will probably only sell about 1.5-2.5 million from 2027 onward until it's discontinued.
It's starting to look like Switch could outsell my prediction of 161 million units, but I'm waiting to update that until after Switch 2 launches.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)
Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
