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Not as much as the original. The Switch got to over 150M in large part for reasons that were once extremely controversial to bring up in certain places *ahem* but are largely accepted today (and we won't be discussing them today *taps sign*). Those conditions likely and hopefully won't exist in the next few years. So, assuming a reasonable price (say, $400), then I think the Switch 2 will probably sell somewhere in the 120-140M range.

Then again we could have unforeseen events happen in the console market that could push more people towards Switch 2, like MS and/or Sony just dropping support for physical media altogether, in which case the Switch 2 has a very real chance of actually becoming the new #1 console ever as people who still like owning their games migrate over to a system that, while maybe not as sophisticated as the PS6 & Xbox 5 will likely be, will be plenty advanced and still support physical games. I know if Sony & MS both abandon physical next generation, their current systems will be the last I'll ever own. Nintendo at least seems like they'll be supporting physical games for a very long time, so they'll continue getting my support.

This is all assuming nothing bad happens in the world because of bad policies from bad politicians, such as America's newly-returned Dumbass-in-Chief getting his trade war or him getting the quack anti-vaxxer he wants for Health Secretary confirmed, in which case all bets are off, because there's no telling what kind of effects that could all have.



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In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").