| Cassiel said: With Switch surely surpassing 170m at most before 2028 rolls in ( it's already above 150m and will be above 160m by year's end ), I think Switch 2 will go even higher than that in 10 years' time at around 200m. Can't imagine it? Well could you imagine Switch reaching those numbers? Exactly. |
Do you really think Switch 2 will be Nintendo's main platform for 10 years? Even 8 is a stretch.
Switch 2 has taken 8 years and change to replace Switch not only because of Switch's success but supply chain issues from COVID-19 and other factors. Without the supply chain crisis, we probably would've gotten Switch 2 as early as March 2023 or as late as March 2024.
Even if Switch 2 sells identically well to Switch, I'm skeptical of it taking more than 7 years to get a successor.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)
Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
