Famitsu sales Week 52, 2024 - Week 1, 2025 (23/12/24 - 5/1/25)

[Norion]

Shtinamin_ said:

Norion said:

My guess is week 1 is somewhat higher than week 52 but even with that it means the Switch's 2024 ended at 3.1m which is extremely impressive for its age and notably higher than my expectations early in the year of about 2.7m. The Switch not being released late last year helped of course but still it's still quite the feat for it to be up in December and its starting of this year strong too though it looks likely that the Switch 2 will start impacting it really soon so there's probably just a few months of good sales left but with it now at 35m that's not even remotely an issue. A decline of only a bit under 25% for 2024 is great but it could be over 50% this year but even with that 37m would still be possible.

I agree with your prognosis. I expect around a 33% decline YoY for the Switch in Japan for 2025 even with the successor on the field.

Why do you expect only a decline of around 33%? The DS completely fell of a cliff in 2011 so the only scenario I can see the decline having any chance of being that modest is if it's a late 2025 release for the Switch 2 which seems unlikely.

PAOerfulone said:

Which would put it at ~37 million units sold to consumers and probably 38-39 million shipped.

I'm telling you guys, 40 million is not out of the question!

Even with a late 2025 release I don't see how 40m is even a remote possibility cause in that scenario it should sell at most 1m in 2026 and it definitely isn't selling another 2m after that year.