JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: Dec. 15th

[Bofferbrauer2]

killer7 said:

The only question is how far the Switch will get. I predict a minimum of 35- 36 million LTD. Who was that guy predicting 40 million? I would not say its impossible but a bit too high...

Shtinamin_ said:

killer7 said:

The only question is how far the Switch will get. I predict a minimum of 35- 36 million LTD. Who was that guy predicting 40 million? I would not say its impossible but a bit too high...

I don't recall who said 40M. I gave Japan the goal of 38.08M in order to reach 160M, which means it needs to sell 3.49M more units. And in order to reach my goal for the Switch of 162.36M I have Japan selling 39.11M which only needs 4.52M more units.

38.08M is possible to reach in 2026 as this year it should sell near 3.19M. And see as how Switch is decreasing in sales now and the successor releases in June (rumor) I predict it will have a 45% drop selling 1.43M in 2025. My prediction of 39.11M is optimistic but doable.

That was @tbone51 , famed for doing such predictions, because most of them actually came true despite getting mocked early on for being "impossible"

Here's the thread of the 40M prediction if you want to know more, it's from early 2021 but his 3.2M prediction for this year seems spot on