Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Farsala said:

Farsala said:

Another update.

As of September 30, 2023 (27 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 31.77m (85.9%) +13%

Americas- 51.03m (88.0%) +11%

Europe- 34.15m (69.7%) +10%

Other- 15.51m (59.7%) +8%

Safe to say Japan and Americas will probably meet your prediction or get very close, with which I am truly impressed.  Europe and Others probably won't.

Compare to top consoles at 26 quarters. (Switch still gets 1 quarter handicap.)

Japan (DS, 26 quarters): 32.76m (99.3%) +10%

Americas (Wii, 26 quarters): 47.75m (98.2%) +1%

Europe (PS2, 26 quarters): 44.79m (82.3%) +6%

DS and Wii are almost entirely done selling at this point, but the Ps2 has more to go. In order for the Switch to come close to the PS2 in Europe, Switch would require at least 3 more years of consistent sales. Others are in a worse spot.

@The_Liquid_Laser

Next update.

As of September 30, 2024 (31 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 35.62m (96.3%) +10%

Americas- 56.11m (96.7%) +9%

Europe- 37.52m (76.6%) +8%

Other- 16.79m (64.6%) +5%

Progress has slowed, but it was still very significant.

Compare to top consoles at 30(32) quarters.

Japan (DS, 30 quarters): 32.98m (99.9%) +.6%

Americas (Wii, 30 quarters): 48.46m (99.6%) +1.4%

Europe (PS2, 32 quarters): 49.35m (90.6%) +8%

My source for exact PS2 shipments to Europe disappeared so bear with the change. The sales could be a bit wrong. Doesn't really matter though because Switch still outperformed expectations. Switch will far exceed Americas and Japan expectations but fall slightly behind Europe and Others.

@The_Liquid_Laser

I think it's pretty clear at this point that my initial prediction undershot Japan and the US, but it overshot Europe and Other.  Overall, I think this is going to balance out and total Switch sales will get fairly close to my overall initial prediction of 170m (although it might end up a few million short of this).

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 06 November 2024