Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

[Farsala]

Farsala said:

Farsala said:

Once again it is that time of the year. So let's do some breakdowns.

As of September 30, 2022 (23 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 26.96m (72.9%) +13%

Americas- 44.59m (76.8%) +14%

Europe- 29.29m (59.8%) +11%

Other- 13.49m (51.9%) +10%

America is the closest, Others and Europe are quite far off.

Compare to top consoles at 22 quarters (1 quarter Switch handicap)

Japan (DS, 22 quarters): 30.4m (88.7%) +5%

Americas (Wii, 22 quarters): 45.70m (97.5%) +9%

Europe (PS2, 22 quarters): 38.6m (76%) +1%

Compared to the previous years the wheels have fallen off for Japan and Europe when compared to the DS or PS2. If Switch didn't have a quarter advantage, then maybe it would not have made more progress. However in the Americas, there is a different story. The Switch is trucking along and should easily beat the Wii.

@The_Liquid_Laser

Another update.

As of September 30, 2023 (27 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 31.77m (85.9%) +13%

Americas- 51.03m (88.0%) +11%

Europe- 34.15m (69.7%) +10%

Other- 15.51m (59.7%) +8%

Safe to say Japan and Americas will probably meet your prediction or get very close, with which I am truly impressed.  Europe and Others probably won't.

Compare to top consoles at 26 quarters. (Switch still gets 1 quarter handicap.)

Japan (DS, 26 quarters): 32.76m (99.3%) +10%

Americas (Wii, 26 quarters): 47.75m (98.2%) +1%

Europe (PS2, 26 quarters): 44.79m (82.3%) +6%

DS and Wii are almost entirely done selling at this point, but the Ps2 has more to go. In order for the Switch to come close to the PS2 in Europe, Switch would require at least 3 more years of consistent sales. Others are in a worse spot.

@The_Liquid_Laser

Next update.

As of September 30, 2024 (31 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 35.62m (96.3%) +10%

Americas- 56.11m (96.7%) +9%

Europe- 37.52m (76.6%) +8%

Other- 16.79m (64.6%) +5%

Progress has slowed, but it was still very significant.

Compare to top consoles at 30(32) quarters.

Japan (DS, 30 quarters): 32.98m (99.9%) +.6%

Americas (Wii, 30 quarters): 48.46m (99.6%) +1.4%

Europe (PS2, 32 quarters): 49.35m (90.6%) +8%

My source for exact PS2 shipments to Europe disappeared so bear with the change. The sales could be a bit wrong. Doesn't really matter though because Switch still outperformed expectations. Switch will far exceed Americas and Japan expectations but fall slightly behind Europe and Others.

@The_Liquid_Laser