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Farsala said:
Farsala said:

It has been one year, so I would like to update again. Sorry for the wall of text in advance.

As of September 30, 2021 (19 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 22.06m (59.6%) +16%

Americas- 36.31m (62.6%) +16%

Europe- 23.60m (48.1%) +12%

Other- 10.89m (41.9%) +12%

Needs about 2.5 more years of peak sales to make it in Japan and America. 4-5 more years in Europe and Others.

Compare to top consoles at 18 quarters. (Switch still gets 1 quarter handicap.)

Japan (DS, 18 quarters): 26.39m (83.5%) +11%

Americas (Wii, 18 quarters): 41.18m (88.1%) +9%

Europe (PS2, 18 quarters): 31.41m (75%) +4%

Switch actually gained a little on the top consoles, due to having a later peak year, but it is still behind them.

@The_Liquid_Laser

Once again it is that time of the year. So let's do some breakdowns.

As of September 30, 2022 (23 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 26.96m (72.9%) +13%

Americas- 44.59m (76.8%) +14%

Europe- 29.29m (59.8%) +11%

Other- 13.49m (51.9%) +10%

America is the closest, Others and Europe are quite far off.

Compare to top consoles at 22 quarters (1 quarter Switch handicap)

Japan (DS, 22 quarters): 30.4m (88.7%) +5%

Americas (Wii, 22 quarters): 45.70m (97.5%) +9%

Europe (PS2, 22 quarters): 38.6m (76%) +1%

Compared to the previous years the wheels have fallen off for Japan and Europe when compared to the DS or PS2. If Switch didn't have a quarter advantage, then maybe it would not have made more progress. However in the Americas, there is a different story. The Switch is trucking along and should easily beat the Wii.

@The_Liquid_Laser

Another update.

As of September 30, 2023 (27 quarters)

Switch:

Japan- 31.77m (85.9%) +13%

Americas- 51.03m (88.0%) +11%

Europe- 34.15m (69.7%) +10%

Other- 15.51m (59.7%) +8%

Safe to say Japan and Americas will probably meet your prediction or get very close, with which I am truly impressed.  Europe and Others probably won't.

Compare to top consoles at 26 quarters. (Switch still gets 1 quarter handicap.)

Japan (DS, 26 quarters): 32.76m (99.3%) +10%

Americas (Wii, 26 quarters): 47.75m (98.2%) +1%

Europe (PS2, 26 quarters): 44.79m (82.3%) +6%

DS and Wii are almost entirely done selling at this point, but the Ps2 has more to go. In order for the Switch to come close to the PS2 in Europe, Switch would require at least 3 more years of consistent sales. Others are in a worse spot.

@The_Liquid_Laser