By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
sundin13 2 days ago
Edit Thread
JWeinCom said:
haxxiy said:

Even if this is off by 5 points, the most Selzer has ever been, this is a catastrophic result for Trump that puts Nebraska-02 and likely the neighboring Midwest states of Michigan and Wisconsin out of contention.

At this point is Pennsylvania or nothing for him.

If there has been an 11 point swing in Iowa, PA is a lock. Ohio is in play. Texas and Florida may be as well. If this is right we are looking at an electoral blowout between 350 and 400. This would end the Maga movement. 

Every poll should be taken with a grain of salt. But I don't think it is an impossibility.

Even if Iowa has swung towards Dems, if the reason is truly the abortion ban, it may not be quite as predictive of other states as a more generalized swing. Obviously it's impossible to know, but I wouldn't put too much stock into what that means for the Rust Belt as a whole.