haxxiy said: Even if this is off by 5 points, the most Selzer has ever been, this is a catastrophic result for Trump that puts Nebraska-02 and likely the neighboring Midwest states of Michigan and Wisconsin out of contention. |
If there has been an 11 point swing in Iowa, PA is a lock. Ohio is in play. Texas and Florida may be as well. If this is right we are looking at an electoral blowout between 350 and 400. This would end the Maga movement.
Every poll should be taken with a grain of salt. But I don't think it is an impossibility.