Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 40 million?

[Norion]

XtremeBG said:

Norion said:

I don't think there's any way it only does that much across November and December cause even with big drops it'll still do 2m this holiday but we'll see. I guess there's a chance the ports to Playstation will start having a large negative impact.

If you talk about November + December, last year it did 2.8M. And this year you are saying 2M ? Having in mind all the drops happening through out the year, every month, and in every region, 2M is very optimistic, comparing it to 2.8M last year .. If 50% drops is here for the holidays too, then 1.4M. Even if we put it optimistic at 40% drop, it's still little over 1.6M which will result in 4.5M .. far from the 5M you talked about now, and some months ago, when I again reassured range of around 4 to 4.5M at max or something like that. Of course there may be adjustments again too soon, just like the previous times, they can be both down or up, however, with the data we have at this point, 4 to 4.5M is the most likely to me

I think the drops will be a lot smaller than 50% since it exceeded expectations last holiday and actually had the best December for the console yet even if only by a little bit. I just can't see it doing much less than 2m for the last couple months but we'll see. You are right that adjustments could change things since if I remember right 2022 was adjusted down for it in early 2023.

Last edited by Norion - on 25 October 2024