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Well done OP. 2025 is the absolute earliest Mario Kart will come out since there's virtually no chance now of it coming out December or sooner without an announcement by now.
If Nintendo has both 3D Mario and Mario Kart on launch day for Switch 2, it's Game.Set.Match. Even both in the first 6 months to a year will print money.
Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 released a month apart for 3DS in the end of 2011. They helped 3DS immensely when its first 6 months were rough.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima