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Otter on 08 May 2024
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Farsala said:
javi741 said:

I see quite a few people stating Nintendo won't fully reveal the Switch 2 in 2024 just cause they don't want to limit the Switch's holiday 2024 sales, but Nintendo multiple times in the past has had a history of revealing their systems before holiday seasons where their main system is still older hardware. The Wii U got shown off E3 2011 a year and a half before it actually launched and before the Wii's last holiday season with Skyward Sword releasing. The 3DS was fully revealed before the last DS's holiday season, it isn't out of character for Nintendo to fully unveil a new console even when they're trying to still keep holiday sales up for their current consoles. A 2024 reveal is still possible especially if we see this launch around March 2025.

This generation has taught us that Nintendo doesn't follow precedent. Nintendo will do what they want in the moment, and that might be fulfilling the forecast of 13.5m Switch, so they might reveal the next gen Switch very late in the FY.

Hmmm, Nintendo have been pretty consistent this generation in making smart business decisions. It's less about following precedent and more about following sense. Nintendo will prioritise the perfect launch of the Switch 2 (the future of their business) over squeezing an extra 1m units out of the Switch this holiday, and that means announcing it when is most beneficial to the new platform. I'll comfortably bet:

A spring 2025 launch means a fall 2024 reveal.
Autumn 2025 launch means early 2025 reveal.

If you have a product releasing early in the new year, you want awareness of it before your potential audience invests elsewhere, even if that means in one of your own products. Someone who just bought a PS5 or PS5 Pro in December will be less likely to buy a Switch 2 in Summer 2025, someone who just spent $300 on an OLED Switch this holiday will be less likely to be an early adopter for Switch 2.

Last edited by Otter - on 08 May 2024