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Wman1996 on 23 February 2024
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curl-6 said:

With the successor apparently delayed to 2025, I'd say it has a shot, but it really depends on how Nintendo handles it post-replacement.
If they keep it around as a budget alternative like they did with the 3DS it can reach #1, but I kinda expect they will treat it more like Sony treated the PS4 and phase it out relatively quickly to encourage people to upgrade, so if I had to guess now I'd say it lands at #2.

Yeah.

3DS to Switch was a little similar to the PS3 to PS4 transition. It made plenty of sense to support the old platform a little because the new one wasn't backward compatible. 3DS being more obvious as a pure handheld and a distinct experience from Switch. 

Unless Nintendo is foolish enough to have no or limited backward compatibility on Switch 2, Switch will only serve as a budget option before it's killed off. 

Switch surpasses the PS2 in NA, but DS is tough to reach. I'll also guess #2 right now. 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima