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Tbh I feel like the idea that you have to launch a new system right when momentum is hot and not dead is kinda overrated. Sure I'm sure it helps a little bit especially early on launching your system when you still have good momentum, but it certainly doesn't mean much in the long run, as long as your system is appealing people will eventually buy it no matter how little momentum you have going into the next generation.
As stated earlier the awful momentum of the Wii U & 3DS going into the Switch's launch didn't at all stop the Switch from selling historically. The 3DS having high momentum isn't a good argument either cause in 2016 the 3DS only sold 7 Million, which isn't great and very small compared to Switch's annually numbers and even worse on the software sales side where many 3DS owners weren't as engaged to the 3DS that much to call it high momentum going into the Switch.

Another example is the PS1, Sony had no momentum prior in the games industry to capitalize on launching the PS1 and while it was selling slow at first, it still would go on to sell 100M units cause it was just a good system. I'm seeing some people act like it'll be suicide if the Switch 2 launches in 2025 while the Switch is dead which is a complete exaggeration. No matter when Switch 2 launches as long as it's good it'll sell just fine.