Xbox Series sold more than 30.1M by 30.09.2024. LT expectations ?

[Wman1996]

Chicho said:

The expectation have lowered but i think it lowered too much. The most voted choice on the new poll is less than 40M and if Xbox does 7 mil in 2024 6 mil in 2025 that is enough to get to 40 with the remaining years in the lifetime to make sure it does.

I agree. I totally get why people think it won't hit the high 50s or even 50. But anything below 42-45 million would only be realistic if there's a cliff in 2025 or so and a new console in 2026 with the Series already discontinued then instead of staying in production as a budget option. 

Until early 2023, I thought it was very likely that Series X/S would surpass 60 million, becoming the second-best Xbox console by units sold. 

Now I think it will finish around 57 million, 48-52 million in a more pessimistic but not totally pessimistic estimate. 

Part of my prediction is based on the assumption that the Series won't be discontinued right as it is replaced. I think it will linger on in modest production for about another year or so. That gives it several years to sell remaining stock after it's replaced. I'm pretty sure Xbox One hardware sales dried up in 2022 since Microsoft confirmed that Xbox One had been discontinued in late 2020 as Series replaced it.