Could the Switch surpass the PS2 in sales?

[Wman1996]

archbrix said:

Hiku said:

I wouldn't know if those parts were being used by other products at the time. If they weren't, it would cost them more than otherwise.
And from what I can see at least, the DS only had one official price drop in 2005? Nintendo DS - Wikipedia
6 years before the launch of the 3DS.

It's normal for a system to keep being manufactured some years after its replacement is launched. PS4's are still being sold.
With the exception of consoles that sold poorly to begin with.

But them getting price drops is not something I'd expect when the cost to manufacture them isn't neccesarily getting lower, but potentially even higher, especially since we are still dealing with a semi-conductor shortage (even though it's not nearly as bad as it was a few years ago) and worldwide inflation.

I could have sworn that the DS Lite dropped to $99 at some point, after the DSi and XL models were out; found this article about it but not much else.  I know it went from its launch price of $149 down to $129 when the Lite came out in 2006 for sure.  It's true that the DS didn't sell much after 3DS, but we have to remember that the $80 3DS price drop a few months in made the cheaper price of the DS useless, as 3DS was backwards compatible.  So 3DS was able to appeal to the lower-end market itself.  With Switch 2 likely being $400, Nintendo needs to have a product to fill that market and it needs to be priced accordingly for that.

I have no idea how much it costs to keep the Tegra going at this point and I know inflation is a thing right now but that chip is 2015 old.  I could see, maybe, if Switch had already had a price reduction but I think Nintendo is waiting for the system's one and only price drop to happen once its successor arrives.

DS Lite did go down to $99.99

Here's another article Nintendo DS Lite Suggested Retail Price Drops to $99.99 and Mario Games Go Red | Business Wire

Adjusting May 2011 USD to December 2023, that's about $135.74

I know price cuts seem to be a thing of the past now, but I could really see Switch Lite at $149.99 at some point. Or maybe they'll even take the 3DS price route, and make Switch Lite $169.99. Same numbers, but a less severe cut than 3DS (which was cut from $249.99 to $169.99 in about 6 months). 

If Switch Lite was $99.99, Switch was $199.99, and Switch OLED was $249.99, it's all but guaranteed Switch outsells PS2 as long as Nintendo makes enough Switch consoles. But as we've said over and over again, hitting about 158-165 million (surpassing the PS2), hardly seems like Nintendo's goal. They're making a killing on software and NSO all while still making a profit on hardware.