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My thoughts

  • At the moment, I'm assuming Nintendo will release the Super Switch or Switch 2 in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025.
  • Nintendo has generally tried to get a 3D Super Mario out within the first year or so for every possible platform since the N64. This doesn't make it a guaranteed launch title, but does make it a cnadidate.
  • Normally I'd say that Mario Kart 9 was a likely launch window title, but the MK8 Booster Pass makes me think that it could be some ways away.
  • Metroid Prime 4 would be a good candidate for a cross-gen release... if I had any confidence that it will ever get released. Alternatively, 2024's Pokemon game might be a cross-gen game, although it is more likely to just be on Switch if B2W2 and USUM are any indicators.
  • We will get at least one early casual game in the vein of Wii Sports, 1-2-Switch, Nintendo Land, Nintendogs, etc. Additionally, an early Mario Party is likely.
  • Mario Maker 3 could be a viable launch window game, based on the projected 5 year gap between releases and the popularity of the first two games.
  • Camelot is roughly due for a new game in 2024, but maybe it can be a Switch 2 game instead?
  • Grezzo has been quiet lately...