| JackHandy said: Statistically, history would say no, since most of the time, the "winner" becomes the "loser" the gen following their "win". But who knows? It has happened. |
Hmm.
Atari went from winning Gen 2 to losing badly every platform after.
NES won Gen 3, SNES won Gen 4.
PS1 won Gen 5, PS2 won Gen 6.
Wii won Gen 7.
But here comes the messy part. Switch is a hybrid and there's no clear consensus what gen it is. If it's Gen 8, it beat the PS4. But if it's Gen 9, it also is pretty much guaranteed to beat PS5. PS5 doesn't have much of a shot of selling over 130 million and forget 150 million or more.
In the handheld space each gen, Nintendo wins each time. In home consoles, it's either Nintendo or Sony once they came on the scene.
Could Switch 2 sell less than PS5 or the future PS6? Quite possible. But there's almost no way it would be dead last. There's almost no chance Xbox ever reaches 360 levels again unless Nintendo or PlayStation are selling well too.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)
Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
