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javi741 said:

Tbh if the successor really is releasing in 2024, I would feel like Nintendo really hasn't done nearly enough to push Switch sales as much as they could. After how 2023 is going for the Switch I'm almost inclined to say that releasing the Switch 2 in 2024 would feel to early.

This recent fiscal year half is showing profit up 27%, and net sales for Nintendo are the HIGHEST since the Switch first launched, even beating out the monster year of 2020, I feel like the Switch's momentum is still so high to risk potentially hampering it with a successor next year.

No other console in its 7th year, or even any year in general been this profitable. With a forecast ordinary profit of 3.96 Billion, this fiscal year would make it the 3rd Most Profitable Console Year IN HISTORY, Playstation & Xbox never in their nearly 30 years in the business even at their peak ever reached profits that the Switch is attaining in its 7th year.

Nintendo could also do so much more with the current Switch to push sales, the 3DS released 6 different models during its lifetime which was big in pushing it to 75M sold. The Switch so far only had 3 and it would be mind-boggling if Nintendo only left it at that considering how many different models succesful handhelds, and even consoles got. They could release a digital-only Switch for 50-100$ less and make up the profit through the high profit-margins associated with digital purchases, a TV-only Switch model, a Switch Lite Oled, ect.... There's so much left to do to push the Switch right now.

The Switch done all this without any price cuts yet, a 2024 release of the successor would be too early and a major sabotage at this point, why fix something that not only isn't broken, but a product that is thriving more than you could ever imagine. I don't think the Switch should be on its way out that early.

6 models was desperation for 3DS. DS (which had over double the units) had 4, and GBA which sold more than 3DS had 3. 

As far as rushing Switch into replacement, it's a debate that has been had many times on this thread and others. It's a no-win situation for Nintendo. If they take a while still to replace Switch, I feel like they're leaving money on the table. But then there is also the argument that if they launch Switch 2 Holiday 2024 or earlier, they're also leaving money on the table.

Nintendo's current calculation seems to be that price cuts would only sell more units of Switch, but reduce profit and potentially not increase software sales enough to be worth it. Even with Nintendo's ego, I hardly think outselling DS and PS2 lifetime sales is a big deal to them. Switch is already more profitable than either platform. 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima