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CosmicSex said:

This is really hard to tell because they are both long term sellers. There is no real reason why either one can't come out on top. A Black Friday sales was just revealed for the Spiderman at 49.99. There is every reason to expect that Spiderman stays in the lead for the short term. Also, because PS5 is nearing midlife and Switch is EOL, I would bet on SM2 but honestly Nintendo can easily come back into contention by simply lowing the price at some point in the near feature... even just $10 on Black Friday would do 'Wonders'.

It will be probably a close race but look at the 10 days sales of Spiderman 2 is at 5 million vs 14 days of mario wonder 4.3 million and thats even with japan massive lead for mario wonder. Then mario rpg is also coming out that's another mario game that mario wonder has to compete with, and ps5 is in its prime and sony having amazing deals for black friday because they want to reach impossible numbers then i see spider man 2 wining comfortably