When do you think the Switch Successor will release?

[Wman1996]

znake said:

Summer 2025 I fear
They wan to reach 170 million.

Why do they want to reach an arbitrary 170 million? 

That's about 15 million more units than the DS and about 12 million more units than the PS2. If Nintendo is set on having the bragging rights of selling more units than the DS or the PS2 (unlikely they care enough), 158-160 million units would be enough for them. 

Summer 2025 isn't too wild, I suppose. But the writing is all over the wall for a March 2025 or sooner release. FY 24-25 seems nearly a lock at this point. While there is almost surely more unannounced Nintendo software, everything after Super Mario Bros. Wonder is a smaller title. Heck, the stuff between Pikmin 4 and Super Mario Bros. Wonder was pretty small as well (1-2 Switch, Detective Pikachu).

Metroid Prime 4 or an unannounced DK platformer seem like the only big things that could possibly be left on Switch. And for all we know, those could be cross-gen or only on Switch 2.  I don't think Nintendo making an all-new 3D Mario platformer for a system that will be over 7 years old by time it would release.