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No less than 100M, but no more than around 125M. Assuming it's basically just a more powerful Switch and not much else, the only way it doesn't make it over 100M is if Nintendo either A) charges way too much (like $500), B) they somehow botch the marketing, like Wii U marketing bad, and/or C) they don't a major software drought in its first year. I suppose in such a a worst-case scenario, maybe 70-80M. Nintendo's handhelds have never outright failed, and I doubt their hybrids ever will, either.



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In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").