javi741 said: Bumping this thread up 6 years later, wanted to see the predictions for the Switch before it launched. Only 7% of people accurately predicted the Switch selling over 100M, and I'm sure even less than that expected a console that will likely sell around or above 150M by the end of its lifecycle. Pretty crazy. |
It was uncharted territory. Wii U was a failure that sold notably below even the GameCube and the 3DS couldn't even sell half the amount of the DS.
Keep in mind that with the exception of the Wii, every Nintendo home console sold less than the last.
As Switch was launching, I saw Wii as the ceiling and Wii U as the floor. Realistically, I figured it would sell between the NES and 3DS. With Nintendo's record, other game platforms, and mobile and PC gaming, it's no surprise so many thoughts matching or exceeding the Wii was not a viable prediction.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
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