Strong parallels between Switch and Wii: Next runaway hit for Nintendo?

[Wman1996]

javi741 said:

Bumping this thread up 6 years later, wanted to see the predictions for the Switch before it launched. Only 7% of people accurately predicted the Switch selling over 100M, and I'm sure even less than that expected a console that will likely sell around or above 150M by the end of its lifecycle. Pretty crazy.

The general consesus here seemed to be that the Switch wouldn't neccesarily be a failure, but definetly not a major success either, somewhere around 30-50M. I also predicted around this amount before launch. I thought around 3DS sales numbers could be a possibility too but never thought it could've reached Wii level numbers and I would've called you a troll if you were to tell me the Switch would sell close to PS2 numbers, but here we are.

It was uncharted territory. Wii U was a failure that sold notably below even the GameCube and the 3DS couldn't even sell half the amount of the DS.

Keep in mind that with the exception of the Wii, every Nintendo home console sold less than the last.

As Switch was launching, I saw Wii as the ceiling and Wii U as the floor. Realistically, I figured it would sell between the NES and 3DS. With Nintendo's record, other game platforms, and mobile and PC gaming, it's no surprise so many thoughts matching or exceeding the Wii was not a viable prediction.