I think a sale through around 3M is more than fair in this scenario. It'll experience growth over the release of Pikmin 3 Deluxe but I don't see exploding in any way unless there quite a chunk of the market suddenly attempting to get into the franchise with this entry.
Personally, this franchise feels like what I experienced with Luigi's Mansion 3. Game's gonna be good, polish, sound and all but I fear I'll simply won't be enthusiast by its gameplay loop
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