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Right now, $0

They have no incentive or reason to drop the price when it's still selling extremely well. At least not before Switch 2's announcement/reveal.
Best case scenario would be that immediately after they announce and reveal Switch 2 they immediately drop the prices for all the models, like as soon as that reveal video drops, just a few minutes later: "Nintendo is dropping the price for all Switch 1 SKUs: Lite - $150, OLED - $300. I originally that they might cut the standard SKU to $250, but what zorg said sounds much more likely - they just might discontinue that model all together and ride w/ the Lite and OLED for the remainder of its life cycle.

Because Nintendo has to know that as soon as they officially reveal their successor, that is going to cut a good chunk of the Switch's legs out from underneath it. ESPECIALLY if Switch 2 is fully backwards compatible. In that case, anyone who was looking to upgrade or replace their Switch units, or those very select few who still hadn't gotten one up to that point, they can just wait a little longer, save up more of their money, and jump on Switch 2 whenever it comes out. Especially if the price isn't TOO outrageous and if it's close enough to the OLED model. $350 would be the sweet spot, but I think $400 might be more likely since Nintendo wants to sell at a profit right out of the gate.