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How much of a power move would it be for Nintendo to launch the next system in Q2 or Q3 2024? That way they're telling the truth about new hardware not coming out in the fiscal year but still releasing it well before November.

In a given region, I don't think Nintendo has ever launched a new system the same month more than a few systems in a row. Switch 2 doesn't need to launch in March of the year it releases, and it doesn't need to launch in November either.

I think a decent strategy would be to unveil the next system in January or February 2024 and launch it at some point in June-August 2024. I really doubt Nintendo is going to announce new hardware this calendar year. Switch sales are already past their peak, and going into the holiday season with new hardware already unveiled seems like a foolish strategy.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima