farlaff said:
I'm no Mathematics buff, but that seems a bit unlikely to me. It would have to sell about 40% of all the lifetime software in whatever the number of solid years it has ahead of it. Let's say 2 years. That would be a ton, wouldn't it? Unless the install base keeps purchasing games to play in the system for years after a successor console arrives. |
Software sales typically decline a lot later than hardware sales because even as hardware sales decline, the hardware total still keeps getting bigger which means there's a much bigger install base in the 2nd half then the 1st half of the consoles life to purchase games. Despite 2022 selling way less Hardware sales-wise compared to 2020 with a 35% decrease in consoles sold, software sales were still pretty much the same level. We could assume that the Switch has around 20% more in its sales lifecycle assuming it reaches around the 150M, so software assuming that it declines less it could certainly sell another 40% before the lifecycle is over.
