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deerox said:

I'm just looking at Splatoon 3's numbers. It was only out for 22 days and it's already within 100k of Splatoon 2. 

That game plus S/V could really do monstrous numbers close to New Horizons. Then you add Smash Ultimate and MK8D still trucking along, by the end of the Switch's life cycle, 5 out of the Top 6 games in Japan will be Switch titles.