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Chrkeller said:

120 million. I think people are crazy for thinking less than 100 million.

I feel the same way. The ps5 might be the longest playstation generation yet. You need a santa monica studio plus countless support people to make something as high level as God of War Ragnarok. And that runs on the ps4. How would a game possibly look that the ps5 cannot run. It's generation is going to be very long before people migrate to the ps6.

Now you can say that even if gow runs on the ps4, that console does not sell anymore. But: these are lessons learnt. There was no need for the ps5 this early. It could have been a better machine with 2 extra years. Sony knows that and will change the ps6 release accordingly. I say 2029 at the earliest. Until than ps5 will be over 120 easily.

Also, everybody seems very satisfied with the ps4 and its exclusives, especially in comparison to the xbox one and its games. That is (hopefully) gonna change come this generation. And it is going to make the xbox series sell more than last gen. But as it stands: most ps4 owners have good reason to stay with playstation (and perhaps buy an xbox in addition for elder scrolls, fallout, halo, and other titles in their ever more compelling catalogue).

I also think that due to online integration, trophies, a digital game catalogue you theoretically carry over to the new generation, people are less likely to jump ship than 2 gens ago.

I can see 130. But 120 due to its unfortunate start is more likely.