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Otter on 12 October 2022
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JuliusHackebeil said:
Otter said:

I think people are really sleeping on Hogwarts which I think will be bigger than GOW and Final Fantasy. Lookinh at Fifa and the ps5 boost it offered last week we shouldn't ignore multiplats as major system sellers.

Imo there's no way they're selling less than 25m if they're able to supply those units. For games in general 2023 is looking to be one of the busiest years on record. (hopefully it stays that way)

That is an interesting take about Hogwarts. Given how bad reception was for the latest movie and the unpopularity of Rowling due to her socio-political stance, I don't think Hogwarts has a snowballs chance in hell to sell anywhere nearly as much as GoWR or FFXVI. My judgement might be influenced by me just finding Hogwarts to look absolutely uninteresting. And Harry Potter surely is big. But I just don't see it.

Would honestly not be surprised if it sells less than half of GoWR.

The franchise is still huge, but a big franchise doesn't mean all endevours are massively successful (see Pokemon spinoffs like Pokken). The thing about Hogwarts is that it taps into every Harry Potters fans fantasy, its at the heart of what made the IP successful. It will have a massive fanbase amongst casual gamers, so might be hard to gauge the hype from your perspective... But to put some data to our speculation, the reveal trailer is the most watched game trailer on the playstation channels History.

1. Hogwarts 30m
2. Spiderman (E3 2016) reveal 29m
3. Marvels Spiderman 2 reveal 25m
4. Marvel Spiderman (E3 2017)
5. God of War 23m

The big variable will be quality. But if the game is good, it will easily trump almost all AAA releases we see next year. 

Last edited by Otter - on 12 October 2022